A fractal in technical analysis terms is when the price action of an asset repeats over different time frames and/or for different assets. As Investopedia explains:
“Although prices may appear to be random, they actually create repeating patterns and trends… Fractals refer to a recurring pattern that occurs amid larger more chaotic price movements.”
A cryptocurrency trader recently noted that structurally speaking, the altcoin market looks almost identical to Bitcoin during 2015’s bear market breakout. That same trader also noted that the altcoin market also looks identical to silver over the past two years.
Should the altcoin market follow the path that silver took and Bitcoin took historically, there will soon be an explosive breakout in digital assets across the board.
Three charts of the "Total2" crypto market cap, an ounce of silver, and Bitcoin from 2014-2017 by trader "JJCycles" (@JJcycles on Twitter). Chart from TradingView.com
The fractal also predicts the start of a larger altcoin rally that will see this segment of the industry surpass its 2018 all-time high.
Analysts say that Bitcoin volatility could ruin the potential altcoins have to rally. Nik Patel, the author of “An Altcoin Trader’s Handbook,” said that he sees a likely scenario where BTC will continue to rally against altcoins until the $20,000 all-time high:
“Wouldn’t surprise me to see dominance now rise until BTC all-time highs (pending a confirmed Weekly breakout above $10,600) > break $20k and alts find another bottom (like Nov/Dec 2016) > they rally concurrently like March-June 2017.”
Wouldn’t surprise me to see dominance now rise until BTC all-time highs (pending a confirmed Weekly breakout above $10,600) > break $20k and alts find another bottom (like Nov/Dec 2016) > they rally concurrently like March-June 2017.
— Nik Patel (@cointradernik) July 27, 2020
This was echoed by the head of technical analysis of Blockfyre, a crypto research firm. As reported by Bitcoinist, he said on the matter previously:
“If $BTC and $ETH start trending. I’d be cautious on longing #ALTS. Especially if this is the start of a new BTC trend upwards. The most likely out come would be alt/btc pair ratios getting drained while BTC moved past 10.5k in that scenario. I also wouldn’t look to fade 1st move.”
If Bitcoin’s volatility can suppress altcoins in the long run, though, remains to be seen.
Featured Image from Shutterstock Price tags: xbtusd, btcusd, btcusdt Charts from TradingView.com An Eerie Fractal Predicts a Huge Altcoin Surge—But Bitcoin Could Stop It
Published at Sat, 01 Aug 2020 07:00:10 +0000